Will Magdalena Bay win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Q: Will Magdalena Bay win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Prediction markets currently price this at 9%. A YES share costs 8.5¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1076.5% over 4.5mo.

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner$2k liquidity$297 volumecloses 4.5mo

MusicAwardsCultureGrammys

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 8.5¢
Implied chance: 8.5%
Return if right: 1076.5%
Spread cost: 50%

If you put in $100

You get 1176.5 shares at 8.5¢ each.

YES wins: $1176.47 back, a profit of $1076.47. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1070.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $2147.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.6¢
Implied chance: 99.6%
Return if right: 0.4%
Spread cost: 91%

If you put in $100

You get 100.4 shares at 99.6¢ each.

NO wins: $100.40 back, a profit of $0.40. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.66.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 04:21 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.