Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Q: Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?

Prediction markets currently price this at 33%. A YES share costs 33.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 203.0% over 7.4mo.

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals$2k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7.4mo

NBASportsBasketballNBA PlayoffsConference Semifinals

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 33.0¢
Implied chance: 33.0%
Return if right: 203.0%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.

YES wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $212.50.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 69.0¢
Implied chance: 69.0%
Return if right: 44.9%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.

NO wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $47.06.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 24, 04:21 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.nba.com/