Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner$3k liquidity$81k volumecloses 8d
FloridaPoliticsElectionsTallahasseedeprec USA ElectionMayoral Elections
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
59.0¢
Implied chance
59.0%
Return if right
69.5%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.

YES wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $72.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
43.0¢
Implied chance
43.0%
Return if right
132.6%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

NO wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $138.10.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%59%33%3%Aug 10Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 06:19 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.

Other outcomes in Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

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