Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 36.0¢
- Implied chance
- 36.0%
- Return if right
- 177.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.
NO wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 10:10 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Several states gear up for high-stakes primaries, including Wisconsin, Vermont and MinnesotaCBS News · 5h ago
- Minnesota’s Democratic Senate Primary Pits Angie Craig Against Peggy FlanaganThe New York Times · 8h ago
- Mike Lindell touts Trump ties in race for governor of Minnesota, where Trump has lostNPR · 13h ago
- This week on the Hill: Minnesota, Wisconsin to hold key primary racesThe Hill · 1d ago
- Sanders says Minnesota Senate race between progressive and moderate will be 'tight'The Hill · 1d ago
- Sen. Bernie Sanders says Minnesota Senate contest is going to be a "tight race"CBS News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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