Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Q: Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?

Prediction markets currently price this at 3%. A YES share costs 3.3¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2930.3% over 4.7mo.

Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$16k liquidity$136k volumecloses 4.7mo

FIFACultureRonaldoWeddingCelebritiesCristiano Ronaldo

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 3.3¢
Implied chance: 3.3%
Return if right: 2930.3%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 3030.3 shares at 3.3¢ each.

YES wins: $3030.30 back, a profit of $2930.30. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $94.70 of that profit. Without it you would make $3025.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.9¢
Implied chance: 96.9%
Return if right: 3.2%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 103.2 shares at 96.9¢ each.

NO wins: $103.20 back, a profit of $3.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.31.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 11:13 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the wedding of Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the wedding is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the wedding. A qualifying wedding must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a wedding which occurred before market creation will not qualify. If it is confirmed that a wedding between Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodriguez occurred before market creation, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.