Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 23.5¢
- Implied chance
- 23.5%
- Return if right
- 325.5%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 425.5 shares at 23.5¢ each.
YES wins: $425.53 back, a profit of $325.53. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $83.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $408.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.2¢
- Implied chance
- 84.2%
- Return if right
- 18.8%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 118.8 shares at 84.2¢ each.
NO wins: $118.76 back, a profit of $18.76. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $24.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 10:01 PM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitwise launches first Lighter ETP amid Hyperliquid rivalryCointelegraph · 1d ago
- US military takes lighter touch toward new targets in boat strike campaignThe Hill · 14d ago
- XPO (XPO) August LTL Shipments Rose 5.7% as Weight Fell 1.8%. Can Density Offset Lighter Freight?Yahoo Finance · 14d ago
- Acer’s new MacBook Air rival is nearly a pound lighter than Apple’s laptopThe Verge · 23d ago
- Former SEC, CFTC Officials Urge Lighter Touch to Bring Crypto Perps Trading OnshoreDecrypt · 24d ago
- Former SEC, CFTC Officials Urge Lighter Touch to Bring Crypto Perps Trading OnshoreYahoo Finance · 24d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
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