Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.6¢
- Implied chance
- 1.6%
- Return if right
- 6150.0%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 6250.0 shares at 1.6¢ each.
YES wins: $6250.00 back, a profit of $6150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1442.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $7592.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Shaquille O'Neal talks LeBron James' Lakers legacy, why his new 76ers might be extremely 'dangerous'Fox News · 5d ago
- Trump's remarks on recruiting LeBron James to women's basketball resurface amid WNBA trans athlete debateFox News · 5d ago
- LeBron James took a 92% pay cut to chase a title — here's how regular workers can survive a pay cut tooYahoo Finance · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.