Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?

Q: Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?

Prediction markets currently price this at 11%. A YES share costs 11.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 809.1% over 4.6mo.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?$244 liquidity$35 volumecloses 4.6mo

TrumpPoliticsUS ElectionTrump Presidencykaroline leavitt

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 11.0¢
Implied chance: 11.0%
Return if right: 809.1%
Spread cost: 39%

If you put in $100

You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.

YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $519.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $1328.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 59%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.53.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 11:42 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.