Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.5¢
- Implied chance
- 1.5%
- Return if right
- 6566.7%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 6666.7 shares at 1.5¢ each.
YES wins: $6666.67 back, a profit of $6566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4444.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $11011.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:28 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Kraken 1-minute candle for $LAPTOP (LAPTOP/USD) between the creation of this market and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Kraken, specifically the LAPTOP/USD "High" and "Low" prices available at: https://pro.kraken.com/app/trade/laptop-usd with the chart set to "1m" (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Kraken LAPTOP/USD price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
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