Will Lacy and Marlon have between 500 and 599 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3695.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $8595.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 74%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 3, 01:30 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sonic the Hedgehog to Headline Fortnite’s ‘Override’ Season (Gaming News Roundup)Variety · 13d ago
- Disney and Epic Games Launch Game That Connects Star Wars Theme Park Ride to New Fortnite AdventureThe Hollywood Reporter · 18d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Lacy and Marlon have between 500 and 599 Fortnite death…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Source: https://www.twitch.tv/lacy
Other outcomes in Lacy and Marlon # of Fortnite deaths during marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 200 and 299 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 300 and 399 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 400 and 499 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 199 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 700 and 799 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have 1000 or more Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 600 and 699 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 900 and 999 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
- Will Lacy and Marlon have between 800 and 899 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?