Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
YES wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 2.6¢
- Implied chance
- 2.6%
- Return if right
- 3746.2%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 3846.2 shares at 2.6¢ each.
NO wins: $3846.15 back, a profit of $3746.15. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1559.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $5305.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 17, 02:35 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- JJ McCarthy considered 'unpredictable'; Vikings hand starting QB role to Kyler Murray: reportFox News · 1d ago
- Why the Minnesota Vikings over 9.5 wins looks like a strong bet even with Kyler Murray under centerFox News · 3d ago
- Vikings quarterback battle meets expected end as Kyler Murray beats out JJ McCarthy for starting jobFox News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the player that is officially announced by the Minnesota Vikings to be the starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event that no starting quarterback is officially announced by the team, this market will resolve in favor of the listed quarterback who takes the field on the listed team’s first offensive play. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Minnesota Vikings’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap in the game. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Minnesota Vikings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.