Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
YES wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $74.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $743.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.3¢
- Implied chance
- 89.3%
- Return if right
- 12.0%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 112.0 shares at 89.3¢ each.
NO wins: $111.98 back, a profit of $11.98. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Russia announces it is closing Germany's consulate in St. PetersburgDeutsche Welle · 17d ago
- Russian military serviceman killed in St Petersburg car blastAl Jazeera · 28d ago
- Russian serviceman dies in car blast in St. PetersburgDeutsche Welle · 28d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
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