Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 24%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1633.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $6796.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Pence: Stopping ballistic attacks in Ukraine will 'take the last fighting tool out of Vladimir Putin's hands'The Hill · 3d ago
- Vladimir Putin's first visit to disputed Pacific islands draws Tokyo protestNPR · 13d ago
- ‘Absolutely unacceptable’: Japan condemns visit by Vladimir Putin to disputed Kuril IslandsThe Guardian · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ye meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both individuals are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.