Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 36.0¢
- Implied chance
- 36.0%
- Return if right
- 177.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.
YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $185.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 66.0¢
- Implied chance
- 66.0%
- Return if right
- 51.5%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.
NO wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $53.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:01 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream ends to confirm the finality of the marathon. If Kai Cenat begins broadcasting again within 12 hours after ending his previous stream, the marathon will be treated as continuing, regardless of the content of the new stream. Completion of any Minecraft challenge will not be considered for resolution. Time spent broadcasting after the challenge has been completed or abandoned, including time spent on activities unrelated to Minecraft, will count toward the marathon. The resolution source for this market will be Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).
Source: https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat
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