Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?

Q: Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?

Prediction markets currently price this at 39%. A YES share costs 38.6¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 159.1% over 6.7mo.

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next? $242 liquidity$5k volumecloses 6.7mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 38.6¢
Implied chance: 38.6%
Return if right: 159.1%
Spread cost: 49%

If you put in $100

You get 259.1 shares at 38.6¢ each.

YES wins: $259.07 back, a profit of $159.07. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $155.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $314.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 90.4¢
Implied chance: 90.4%
Return if right: 10.6%
Spread cost: 67%

If you put in $100

You get 110.6 shares at 90.4¢ each.

NO wins: $110.62 back, a profit of $10.62. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $31.75.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:11 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.