Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Q: Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 2.4¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4066.7% over 20d.

Top Spotify Artist in August?$2k liquidity$188 volumecloses 20d

MusicCulturespotify

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 2.4¢
Implied chance: 2.4%
Return if right: 4066.7%
Spread cost: 44%

If you put in $100

You get 4166.7 shares at 2.4¢ each.

YES wins: $4166.67 back, a profit of $4066.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3240.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $7307.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.7¢
Implied chance: 99.7%
Return if right: 0.3%
Spread cost: 78%

If you put in $100

You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.

NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.37.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 08:35 AM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on August 31, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.