Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 80%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.9¢
- Implied chance
- 0.9%
- Return if right
- 11011.1%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.
NO wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8888.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $19900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 2, 04:04 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- BASE jumper dies after falling from 700-foot Utah cliffCBS News · 4d ago
- Base jumper dies in Utah after wingsuit fails in remote mountainous regionThe Guardian · 4d ago
- BASE jumper fatally plunges 700 feet after wingsuit failure in UtahNBC News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jumper officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Jumper will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. A token issued or branded by a party other than Jumper, including LI.FI (https://x.com/lifiprotocol), will qualify only if Jumper publicly announces that the token is Jumper's own token, whether in its own announcement or in a joint announcement with the issuing party. Absent such an announcement from Jumper's official channels, such a token will not qualify, and its launch will not affect the resolution of this market. Where a token qualifies on this basis, both the announcement and the token's public tradability must occur by the specified date. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Jumper (https://x.com/jumperapp), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.