Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in July?

Q: Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in July?

Prediction markets currently price this at 19%. A YES share costs 19.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 426.3% over 8d.

JOLTS Job Openings — July 2026$3k liquidity$3k volumecloses 8d

jobsJOLTSLaborEconomyJob OpeningsMacro Indicators

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 19.0¢
Implied chance: 19.0%
Return if right: 426.3%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.

YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $440.54.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 82.0¢
Implied chance: 82.0%
Return if right: 22.0%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.

NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $22.70.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 24, 04:42 PM2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.