Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.0¢
- Implied chance
- 12.0%
- Return if right
- 733.3%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.
YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $36.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
NO wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 04:17 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump welcomes Chinese President Xi Jinping for state visit as tensions build over AI, IranCBS News · 6h ago
- Donald Trump welcomes China's Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 7h ago
- Donald Trump welcomes Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 7h ago
- Trump gives Xi Jinping rare airport welcome as summit visit beginsThe Washington Post · 7h ago
- Trump greets Xi Jinping on arrival in rare move as US-China trade truce extendedThe Guardian · 7h ago
- White House rolling out red carpet for historic Xi Jinping visitBBC News · 15h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, during which Donald Trump is expected to host a state dinner for him at the White House. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is confirmed to have attended the White House state dinner held for Xi Jinping between market creation and October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the state dinner is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the state dinner. A qualifying state dinner must both occur and be known to have occurred within the specified timeframe. Attendance at a state dinner which occurred before market creation will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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