Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate Election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.4¢
- Implied chance
- 6.4%
- Return if right
- 1462.5%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 1562.5 shares at 6.4¢ each.
YES wins: $1562.50 back, a profit of $1462.50. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1104.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $2566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 71%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Cowboys legend Randy White endorses Ken Paxton, warns James Talarico ‘can’t be trusted’Fox News · 16h ago
- Hasan Piker vows he will pressure James Talarico to govern as a leftist, not a moderateFox News · 3d ago
- Top Democrats Start to Fund James Talarico in Texas Senate RaceThe New York Times · 6d ago
- James Talarico challenges Ken Paxton to Fox News debateCBS News · 10d ago
- Texas poll: James Talarico holds a narrow advantage for Senate while Greg Abbott leads for governorNBC News · 14d ago
- Black congressional leaders endorse James Talarico in Texas Senate raceThe Washington Post · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race. If John Cornyn does not announce an endorsement by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Cornyn and his representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting on Conryn's endorsement may also be used.