Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.6¢
- Implied chance
- 0.6%
- Return if right
- 16566.7%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 16666.7 shares at 0.6¢ each.
YES wins: $16666.67 back, a profit of $16566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $19900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.6¢
- Implied chance
- 99.6%
- Return if right
- 0.4%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 100.4 shares at 99.6¢ each.
NO wins: $100.40 back, a profit of $0.40. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 03:52 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Alcaraz withdraws from Cincinnati event as doubts grow over US Open defenceAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- Raducanu to miss US Open to continue recoveryBBC Sport · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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