Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 18.0¢
- Implied chance
- 18.0%
- Return if right
- 455.6%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 555.6 shares at 18.0¢ each.
YES wins: $555.56 back, a profit of $455.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $111.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 88.0¢
- Implied chance
- 88.0%
- Return if right
- 13.6%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.
NO wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $17.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democratic socialist talks agenda as she looks to unseat embattled Rep. Jimmy GomezCBS News · 1d ago
- Jimmy Gomez accused of sexual harassment by House Ethics witnessThe Hill · 2d ago
- House ethics panel is investigating Rep. Jimmy Gomez over sexual misconduct allegationsNBC News · 4d ago
- House ethics panel investigates Rep. Jimmy Gomez over sexual misconduct allegationsThe Washington Post · 4d ago
- Democratic Rep. Jimmy Gomez being investigated over sexual misconduct allegationsNPR · 4d ago
- House Ethics investigating Rep. Jimmy Gomez over sexual misconduct allegationsAxios · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).