Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.9¢
- Implied chance
- 1.9%
- Return if right
- 5163.2%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 5263.2 shares at 1.9¢ each.
YES wins: $5263.16 back, a profit of $5163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $292.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $5455.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.3¢
- Implied chance
- 98.3%
- Return if right
- 1.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 101.7 shares at 98.3¢ each.
NO wins: $101.73 back, a profit of $1.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 03:23 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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