Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
YES wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 50.0¢
- Implied chance
- 50.0%
- Return if right
- 100.0%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.
NO wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 17, 05:18 PM
Latest news
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How this market resolves
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).