Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $90.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 03:09 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ottawa Senators owner claims Keith Tkachuk and Matthew Tkachuk swayed Brady's trade requestFox News · 2d ago
- Carpe diem, Canada: Ottawa's new global ties can also benefit the USThe Hill · 8d ago
- Canada PM stands his ground as Ottawa's retaliatory tariffs on US goods take effectFrance 24 · 16d ago
- Trump’s Federal Film Tax Incentive Plan Prompts Canada’s Actors to Call on Ottawa to Follow SuitThe Hollywood Reporter · 23d ago
- Trump calls Canada "one of the worst countries" to work with after Ottawa lays on tariffsCBS News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.