Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
YES wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $29.03.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 24.0¢
- Implied chance
- 24.0%
- Return if right
- 316.7%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.
NO wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $27.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $344.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:19 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Gov…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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