Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
YES wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1098.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $15284.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.4¢
- Implied chance
- 99.4%
- Return if right
- 0.6%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.
NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 09:51 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Florida woman loses arm in Silver River alligator attack as boater races to save her lifeFox News · 6h ago
- Florida attorney general threatens charges after Cunningham is fouled in WNBA gameThe Hill · 10h ago
- Florida House candidate calls out Carville: 'foolhardy to be exclusive' to democratic socialistsThe Hill · 1d ago
- Florida attorney general says state doing 'everything in our power to seek truth' amid Fauci probeThe Hill · 1d ago
- Florida AG James Uthmeier says Fauci probe could uncover grounds for criminal liability despite pardonFox News · 1d ago
- Florida man accused of killing nurse mom who helped him despite repeated arrests for threatening her: sheriffFox News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Gover…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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