Will Janaina Riva win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 52%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $184.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 73%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
NO wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Janaina Riva20.0%
- Mauro Mendes50.0%
- Margareth Buzetti29.5%
- Jose Medeiros28.5%
- Professor Nelson Ferreira6.0%
- Fávaro21.5%
Latest: Aug 18, 05:46 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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How this market resolves
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other outcomes in Mato Grosso Senate Election: 1st Place
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- Will Margareth Buzetti win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- Will Pedro Taques win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- Will Jose Medeiros win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- Will Professor Nelson Ferreira win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- Will Fávaro win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- Will Coronel Darwin win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?