Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.7¢
- Implied chance
- 1.7%
- Return if right
- 5782.4%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 5882.4 shares at 1.7¢ each.
YES wins: $5882.35 back, a profit of $5782.35. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4117.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $9900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 70%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.01.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Fishback 25–30%1.0%
- Fishback 10–15%44.5%
- Fishback <10%40.5%
- Fishback 15–20%11.0%
- Fishback 20–25%2.9%
- Fishback 30%+1.8%
Latest: Aug 10, 11:28 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Florida House candidate calls out Carville: 'foolhardy to be exclusive' to democratic socialistsThe Hill · 14h ago
- Florida attorney general says state doing 'everything in our power to seek truth' amid Fauci probeThe Hill · 15h ago
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- Florida men wielding hatchet and machete clash in Publix parking lot, police sayFox News · 1d ago
- Florida attorney general offers his response to brutal foul on Sophie CunninghamFox News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Repub…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Other outcomes in James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
- Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?