Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Q: Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Prediction markets currently price this at 88%. A YES share costs 87.6¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 14.2% over 3.0mo.

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner$2k liquidity$24k volumecloses 3.0mo

SportsMLBawardCy youngbaseballNational League

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 87.6¢
Implied chance: 87.6%
Return if right: 14.2%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 114.2 shares at 87.6¢ each.

YES wins: $114.16 back, a profit of $14.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 13.6¢
Implied chance: 13.6%
Return if right: 635.3%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 735.3 shares at 13.6¢ each.

NO wins: $735.29 back, a profit of $635.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $33.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 12, 12:07 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.