Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 0.75% and 1.49%?

India Annual Inflation 2026$885 liquidity$2k volumecloses 3.6mo
IndiaCPIInflationMacro IndicatorsEconomy
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BUY YES

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Cost
0.4¢
Implied chance
0.4%
Return if right
24900.0%
Spread cost
13%

If you put in $100

You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.

YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3571.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $28471.43.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
99.7¢
Implied chance
99.7%
Return if right
0.3%
Spread cost
14%

If you put in $100

You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.

NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.35.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%1%89%4%3%Sep 17Sep 24

Latest: Sep 24, 09:11 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 0.75% and 1.49”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf

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