Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Q: Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 68%. A YES share costs 68.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 47.1% over 1.3y.

Bulgaria Presidential Election$39k liquidity$178k volumecloses 1.3y

World ElectionsElectionsGlobal ElectionsPoliticsWorldBulgaria

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

YES wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.09 of that profit. Without it you would make $48.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 33.0¢
Implied chance: 33.0%
Return if right: 203.0%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.

NO wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $207.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 11:06 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).