Will Igor Yakovenko win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.5¢
- Implied chance
- 2.5%
- Return if right
- 3900.0%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 4000.0 shares at 2.5¢ each.
YES wins: $4000.00 back, a profit of $3900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3407.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $7307.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 85%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.37.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:25 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Igor Yakovenko win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial e…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tver Oblast on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tver Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tver Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
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