Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:32 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- PPC to acquire ABO Energy assets in Poland and HungaryYahoo Finance · 10h ago
- Hungary nominates former Supreme Court chief Andras Baka for presidencyAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Hungary Warns of Dramatic Hit From Drought, Nuclear OutageBloomberg · 3d ago
- Eco wins: Hungary goes solar, marmots go viral and Rome gets an upgradeDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
- Hungary's only nuclear plant on brink of shutdown as Danube River dries upCBS News · 4d ago
- Record-low Danube River levels threaten shutdown of Hungary's nuclear plantCBS News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Hungary is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on or before August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Hungary by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Hungary. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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