Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?

Q: Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 12%. A YES share costs 11.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 754.7% over 3.3mo.

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?$640 liquidity$2k volumecloses 3.3mo

SportsUFCmma

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 11.7¢
Implied chance: 11.7%
Return if right: 754.7%
Spread cost: 50%

If you put in $100

You get 854.7 shares at 11.7¢ each.

YES wins: $854.70 back, a profit of $754.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $745.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $1500.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.2¢
Implied chance: 99.2%
Return if right: 0.8%
Spread cost: 88%

If you put in $100

You get 100.8 shares at 99.2¢ each.

NO wins: $100.81 back, a profit of $0.81. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 04:35 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.