Will Hugo Fontaine win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 18.0¢
- Implied chance
- 18.0%
- Return if right
- 455.6%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 555.6 shares at 18.0¢ each.
YES wins: $555.56 back, a profit of $455.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $32.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $488.24.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $20.48.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Hugo Fontaine6.6%
- Guillaume Rousseau52.5%
- Bernard Sévigny25.0%
- Dominic Bouffard6.0%
- David Poulin-Latulippe11.6%
Latest: Sep 3, 01:15 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Hugo Fontaine win the next Richmond Quebec National Ass…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Source: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/
Other outcomes in Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
- Will Dominic Bouffard win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?
- Will Guillaume Rousseau win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?
- Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?
- Will David Poulin-Latulippe win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?