Will Houston Cougars Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?

Q: Will Houston Cougars Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?

Prediction markets currently price this at 14%. A YES share costs 13.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 619.4% over 2.8mo.

NCAA Football 2026 Big 12 Conference: Winner$7k liquidity$30 volumecloses 2.8mo

CFB (All)NCAAFSportsfootballConference ChampionsCFB

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 13.9¢
Implied chance: 13.9%
Return if right: 619.4%
Spread cost: 39%

If you put in $100

You get 719.4 shares at 13.9¢ each.

YES wins: $719.42 back, a profit of $619.42. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $391.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $1011.11.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.9¢
Implied chance: 95.9%
Return if right: 4.3%
Spread cost: 57%

If you put in $100

You get 104.3 shares at 95.9¢ each.

NO wins: $104.28 back, a profit of $4.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.89.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:44 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Big 12 Championship Game, determining the champion of the Big 12 Conference for the 2026 college football season, currently scheduled for December 4, 2026. If this championship is postponed after December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared co-champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Big 12 Conference (https://big12sports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.