Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 49.0¢
- Implied chance
- 49.0%
- Return if right
- 104.1%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.
YES wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $115.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 56.0¢
- Implied chance
- 56.0%
- Return if right
- 78.6%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.
NO wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $86.92.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Heino Doessing46.5%
- Jeff Beattie26.5%
- Monique Taylor21.5%
- Heather Curnew0.6%
- Wieslawa Derlatka0.5%
- Pascale Marchand0.3%
Latest: Aug 22, 05:00 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Hamilton East—Stoney Creek is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Other outcomes in Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
- Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
- Will Wieslawa Derlatka win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
- Will Heather Curnew win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
- Will Pascale Marchand win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
- Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?