Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
YES wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $43.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 32.0¢
- Implied chance
- 32.0%
- Return if right
- 212.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 312.5 shares at 32.0¢ each.
NO wins: $312.50 back, a profit of $212.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.37 of that profit. Without it you would make $227.87.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:47 PM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘Gilmore Girls’ Documentary Filming for HBO MaxThe Hollywood Reporter · 5d ago
- ‘Gilmore Girls’ Documentary Set at HBO Max With Lauren Graham, Never-Before-Seen Footage and MoreVariety · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards. An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.