Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Q: Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?

Prediction markets currently price this at 43%. A YES share costs 43.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 132.6% over 9.2mo.

Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)$2k liquidity$4k volumecloses 9.2mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 43.0¢
Implied chance: 43.0%
Return if right: 132.6%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

YES wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 58.0¢
Implied chance: 58.0%
Return if right: 72.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.

NO wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 04:35 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.