Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.9¢
- Implied chance
- 2.9%
- Return if right
- 3348.3%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 3448.3 shares at 2.9¢ each.
YES wins: $3448.28 back, a profit of $3348.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1679.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $5028.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 49%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 09:12 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Aptoide becomes the first rival app store to return to Google Play in the USTechCrunch · 3h ago
- What to expect from Google’s 2026 Pixel hardware launch eventThe Verge · 4h ago
- Google Stock Sputters, But These Catalysts Could Spark A ReboundYahoo Finance · 5h ago
- Following Epic loss, Google has started hosting rival app stores in the Play StoreArs Technica · 5h ago
- Is Alphabet (GOOGL) Still One of the Best AI Stocks to Own?Yahoo Finance · 8h ago
- Google Play adds Venmo as a payment optionTechCrunch · 9h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs
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