Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 80.0¢
- Implied chance
- 80.0%
- Return if right
- 25.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.
YES wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 21.0¢
- Implied chance
- 21.0%
- Return if right
- 376.2%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.
NO wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 09:11 AM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Australia says OpenAI agent hacked government site before Altman warningCointelegraph · 44m ago
- OpenAI Model Hacks Australian Government Data PortalBloomberg · 3h ago
- OpenAI agents breached Australian portal, attempted other hacks in routine data collection.Axios · 3h ago
- Australia Investigates OpenAI Hack on Public Health Care SiteThe New York Times · 4h ago
- OpenAI's breach of Australian health department website prompts rebukeNPR · 4h ago
- OpenAI CEO: Tech companies don’t ‘have all the answers’ on AI policyAl Jazeera · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates ser…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
- Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?