Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.9¢
- Implied chance
- 7.9%
- Return if right
- 1165.8%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 1265.8 shares at 7.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1265.82 back, a profit of $1165.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $908.09 of that profit. Without it you would make $2073.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.7¢
- Implied chance
- 98.7%
- Return if right
- 1.3%
- Spread cost
- 73%
If you put in $100
You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.
NO wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Gideon Sa’ar4.6%
- No Next Minister by Feb 2844.5%
- Benny Gantz1.1%
- Yossi Cohen1.4%
- Avigdor Lieberman14.5%
- Israel Katz9.5%
Latest: Oct 5, 04:14 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Israeli soccer players wear armbands to remember terror attack victims as Irish opponents pull stunt againFox News · 9h ago
- Israeli journalists banned from media call after Republic of Ireland matchSky News · 9h ago
- Jerusalem Daily: Israeli forces arrest school children during raidAl Jazeera · 12h ago
- Israeli investigators believe alleged FlyDubai hijacker was lone wolf, sources sayCBS News · 13h ago
- Irish soccer official clashes with Israeli journalist before Ireland meets Israel in Nations League matchFox News · 14h ago
- Israeli Authorities Trade Blame for Failure to Flag FlyDubai Co-PilotThe New York Times · 17h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Af…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Foreign Affairs” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Foreign Affairs are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Foreign Affairs assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Ron Dermer be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?