Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 22.9¢
- Implied chance
- 22.9%
- Return if right
- 336.7%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 436.7 shares at 22.9¢ each.
YES wins: $436.68 back, a profit of $336.68. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $267.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $604.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.5¢
- Implied chance
- 94.5%
- Return if right
- 5.8%
- Spread cost
- 65%
If you put in $100
You get 105.8 shares at 94.5¢ each.
NO wins: $105.82 back, a profit of $5.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 13, 06:19 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.