Will Geno Smith be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.2¢
- Implied chance
- 99.2%
- Return if right
- 0.8%
- Spread cost
- 69%
If you put in $100
You get 100.8 shares at 99.2¢ each.
YES wins: $100.81 back, a profit of $0.81. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 4.3¢
- Implied chance
- 4.3%
- Return if right
- 2225.6%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 2325.6 shares at 4.3¢ each.
NO wins: $2325.58 back, a profit of $2225.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1595.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $3821.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 31, 11:05 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Jets say Geno Smith delivers 'exactly what we were looking for' in 2026 debut, so here comes the overreactionFox News · 9d ago
- Geno Smith's Jets reunion is 'like a Hollywood script,' says former teammate Ryan FitzpatrickFox News · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Geno Smith be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the player that is officially announced by the New York Jets to be the starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event that no starting quarterback is officially announced by the team, this market will resolve in favor of the listed quarterback who takes the field on the listed team’s first offensive play. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the New York Jets’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap in the game. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the New York Jets; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.