Will Gbemileke Alagbe win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $143.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $952.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $10.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Gbemileke Alagbe9.5%
- Taofeek Adegoke12.5%
- Oriyomi Hamzat10.5%
- Abimbola Adekanmbi30.5%
- Yusuf Akim Adebola8.0%
- Hazeem Gbolarumi7.0%
Latest: Aug 22, 07:21 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
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How this market resolves
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Oyo State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Other outcomes in Oyo, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
- Will Taofeek Adegoke win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?
- Will Oriyomi Hamzat win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?
- Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?
- Will Yusuf Akim Adebola win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?
- Will Hazeem Gbolarumi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?
- Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?