Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Q: Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 97%. A YES share costs 96.6¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3.5% over 1d.

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner$35k liquidity$218k volumecloses 1d

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryWisconsin PrimaryUS ElectionAugust 11 Primaries

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 96.6¢
Implied chance: 96.6%
Return if right: 3.5%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 103.5 shares at 96.6¢ each.

YES wins: $103.52 back, a profit of $3.52. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 3.5¢
Implied chance: 3.5%
Return if right: 2757.1%
Spread cost: 1%

If you put in $100

You get 2857.1 shares at 3.5¢ each.

NO wins: $2857.14 back, a profit of $2757.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $41.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $2798.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:07 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.