Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:15 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democratic lawmakers accuse Trump administration of interference in Brazilian electionsThe Guardian · 3h ago
- Banco Bradesco Executive Buys 79,782 Shares for $1.4 Million. Is the Brazilian Bank a Buy?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Brazilian police capture suspected serial killer disguised as a womanAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Vallourec Pipes Up With Another Brazilian WinYahoo Finance · 8d ago
- ‘On Behalf of My Son’ Review: A Strained Brazilian Drama About a Mother’s Apology TourVariety · 11d ago
- ‘On Behalf of My Son’ Director Gabriel Martins on Black Brazilian Representation in His Films: ‘It’s a Life Project To Me, Not Just Cinema’Variety · 12d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first rou…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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