Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 92.6¢
- Implied chance
- 92.6%
- Return if right
- 8.0%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 108.0 shares at 92.6¢ each.
YES wins: $107.99 back, a profit of $7.99. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 9.9¢
- Implied chance
- 9.9%
- Return if right
- 910.1%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 1010.1 shares at 9.9¢ each.
NO wins: $1010.10 back, a profit of $910.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $145.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $1056.07.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump extends Jones Act waiver, with limits, in bid to tamp down energy pricesThe Hill · 2h ago
- Nvidia Shares Extend Declines After Report of $500 Billion Financing DealYahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Milwaukee Brewers face San Diego Padres as Logan Henderson looks to extend dominant road stretchFox News · 4h ago
- Washington grapples with a National Guard deployment extended until 2029ABC News · 7h ago
- Neumann back in Wales' extended WXV training squadBBC Sport · 9h ago
- Romania Extends Reactor Output by Nine Days After Danube BlastsBloomberg · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.