Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
YES wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $86.92.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 47.0¢
- Implied chance
- 47.0%
- Return if right
- 112.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.
NO wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $115.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 04:25 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential el…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Hannover Region presidential election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the president of the Hannover Region. A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives at least half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next president of the Hannover Region as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder regional presidents appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Region Hannover and the relevant election authorities of Lower Saxony.